Lunchtime pandemic reading.
Standard disclaimer: this is a roundup of informative pieces I've read that interest me on the severity of the crisis and how to manage it. I am not a qualified medical expert in ANY sense; at best I am reasonably well-read laity. ALWAYS prioritize advice from a qualified healthcare provider who knows your specific medical situation over advice from people on the Internet.
This is also available as an email newsletter at https://lunchtimepandemic.substack.com if you prefer the update in your inbox.
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Omicron BA.2 coming your way soon. "Health officials and scientists worldwide are closely watching a subtype of the highly infectious Omicron COVID-19 variant.
The new subtype, called BA.2, is a sister to BA.1 — the virus driving most COVID-19 cases worldwide.
Scientists have spotted that the number of people infected with BA.2 has steadily increased in several countries including India, the UK, Sweden, and Singapore. It was first detected in the Philippines in December 2021.
This could signal BA.2 is more infectious than BA.1, though there isn't enough data yet to determine any meaningful difference between the two, experts have said.
Scientists worldwide are now scrambling to work out if current vaccines will still work on the subtype, and whether BA.2 is more deadly.
In Denmark, BA.2 has displaced BA.1 and now accounts for almost half of the new infections in the country, health officials said Thursday. Early data from the country suggests there hasn't been an uptick in hospitalizations since the subtype took hold."
Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/covid-scientist-track-omicron-variant-new-case-denmark-ba1-ba2-2022-
Commentary: Early data suggests - but does not PROVE - that BA.2 may be more infectious than OG Omicron. The reality is that new variants are inevitable with spread. The more spread, the more variants we end up with - including variants that are harder to control. The only way we control variants is to control spread. Mask up, get vaccinated.
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Long COVID may be because it's just hanging out. "In addition to the severe impact of acute respiratory disease during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, the issue of “Long COVID” illness has impacted large numbers of patients following the initial infection. Wide ranges of Long Covid incidence have been reported, ranging from 30 to 87%. Long COVID has a variety of clinical manifestations, including gastrointestinal symptoms. Here, we report a case of persistent abdominal pain, 3 months following a SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis, associated with chronic colonic inflammation and the presence of mucosal SARS-CoV-2 virions.
As previously discussed, ACE2 receptors also allow for SARS-CoV-2 infection of neurons. As SARS-CoV-2 has shown to be able to both infect neuronal tissue (21) and directly impact ENS function (22,23), we speculate prolonged gastrointestinal symptoms following SARS-CoV-2 infection are driven by viral persistence in ENS cells. Multiple viruses have demonstrated the capacity to create latent or chronic infection in ENS cells, leading to intestinal inflammation and dysfunction (24,25). As the ENS is directly connected to the intestinal epithelium via enterochromaffin cells (26), sparse reinfection of the intestinal epithelium and intestinal motor and sensory dysfunction could drive this patient’s symptoms and mild inflammatory picture."
Source: https://journals.lww.com/jpgnr/Fulltext/2022/02000/Persistent_SARS_CoV_2_Nucleocapsid_Protein.9.aspx
Commentary: This is a story of an 11 year old child with long COVID. Think about that for a second. A kid got COVID and it stuck around in her body for 3 months. You don't want this thing hanging out in your body, and the easiest way to prevent that is with a strong immune response. The easiest way to trigger a strong immune response is vaccination and boosters. Get your kids vaccinated and boosted.
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Boosters work on Omicron. "We report the antibody neutralization against Omicron SARS-CoV-2 after 2 and 3 doses of BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine. Vaccinated individuals were serially tested for their neutralization against wild-type SARS-CoV-2 (strain USA-WA1/2020) and an engineered USA-WA1/2020 bearing the Omicron spike glycoprotein. Plaque reduction neutralization results showed that at 2 or 4 weeks post-dose-2, the neutralization geometric mean titers (GMTs) were 511 and 20 against the wild-type and Omicron-spike viruses, respectively, suggesting that two doses of BNT162b2 were not sufficient to elicit robust neutralization against Omicron; at 1 month post-dose-3, the neutralization GMTs increased to 1342 and 336, respectively, indicating that three doses of vaccine increased the magnitude and breadth of neutralization against Omicron; at 4 months post-dose-3, the neutralization GMTs decreased to 820 and 171, respectively, suggesting similar neutralization decay kinetics for both variants. The data support a three-dose vaccine strategy and provide the first glimpse of the neutralization durability against Omicron."
Source: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.01.21.476344v1
Commentary: Two shots of mRNA vaccines isn't enough. To ensure durable response against Omicron and its kids, you need 3 shots. Boost it up.
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A reminder of the simple daily habits we should all be taking.
1. Wear the best mask available to you when you'll be around people you don't live with, even after you've been vaccinated. Respirators are back in stock at online retailers, too. Wear an N95/FFP2/KN95 that's NIOSH-approved or better mask if you can obtain it. If you can't get an N95 mask, wear a surgical mask with a cloth mask over it.
2. Verify your mask's NIOSH certification here: https://www.cdc.gov/niosh/npptl/usernotices/counterfeitResp.html
3. Get vaccinated as soon as you're able to, and fulfill the full vaccine regimen, including boosters. Remember that you are not vaccinated until everyone you live with is vaccinated. If you received an adenovirus vaccine (J&J/AstraZeneca), consider getting an mRNA single shot booster (Pfizer/Moderna) if available. If it's available, choose Moderna as your first choice for both vaccine and booster, Pfizer as your second choice. However, remember than any vaccine is better than no vaccine.
4. Wash/sanitize your hands every time you are in or out of your home.
5. Stay out of indoor spaces that aren't your home and away from people you don't live with as much as practical. Minimize your contact with others and avoid indoor places as much as you can; indoor spaces spread the disease through aerosols and distance is less effective at mitigating your risks.
6. Aim to have 3-6 months of living expenses on hand in case the pandemic gives another crazy plot twist to the economy.
7. Replenish your supplies as you use them. Avoid reducing your stores to pre-pandemic levels in case an outbreak causes unexpected supply chain disruptions.
8. Ventilate your home as frequently as weather and circumstances permit, except when you share close airspaces with other residences (like a window less than a meter away from a neighboring window).
9. Masks must fit properly to work. Here's how to properly fit a mask:
10. If you think you may have been exposed to COVID-19, purchase a rapid antigen test. This will detect COVID-19 only when you're contagious, so follow the directions clearly. https://amzn.to/3fLAoor
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Common misinformation debunked!
There is no basis in fact that COVID-19 vaccines can shed or otherwise harm people around you.
Source: https://www.reuters.com/article/factcheck-covid19vaccine-reproductivepro-idUSL1N2MG256
There is no mercury or other heavy metals in the Pfizer mRNA vaccine.
Source: https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/12/09/1013538/what-are-the-ingredients-of-pfizers-covid-19-vaccine/
There is no basis in fact that COVID-19 vaccines pose additional risks to pregnant women.
Source: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2104983
There is no genomic evidence at all that COVID-19 arrived before 2020 in the United States and therefore no hidden herd immunity:
Source:
There is no evidence SARS-CoV-2 was engineered, nor that it escaped a lab somewhere.
Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2020/01/29/experts-debunk-fringe-theory-linking-chinas-coronavirus-weapons-research/
Source: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0820-9
Source: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2020/05/anthony-fauci-no-scientific-evidence-the-coronavirus-was-made-in-a-chinese-lab-cvd/
Source: https://www.smh.com.au/national/are-we-ignoring-the-hard-truths-about-the-most-likely-cause-of-covid-19-20210601-p57x4r.html
There is no evidence a flu shot increases your COVID-19 risk.
Source: https://www.factcheck.org/2020/04/no-evidence-that-flu-shot-increases-risk-of-covid-19/
Source: https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa626/5842161
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Disclosures and Disclaimers
I declare no competing interests on anything I share related to COVID-19. I am employed by and am a co-owner in TrustInsights.ai, an analytics and management consulting firm. I have no clients and no business interests in anything related to COVID-19, nor do I financially benefit in any way from sharing information about COVID-19.
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A common request I'm asked is who I follow. Here's a public Twitter list of many of the sources I read.
https://twitter.com/i/lists/1260956929205112834
This list is biased by design. It is limited to authors who predominantly post in the English language. It is heavily biased towards individual researchers and away from institutions. It is biased towards those who publish or share research, data, papers, etc. I have made an attempt to follow researchers from different countries, and also to make the list reasonably gender-balanced, because multiple, diverse perspectives on research data are essential.
This is also available as an email newsletter at https://lunchtimepandemic.substack.com if you prefer the update in your inbox.